Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.806625 3.296971 3.868537 4.589218 5.481017 6.557984 7.971649
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.153757 2.784579 3.613889 4.807073 6.519054 8.950083 12.783767
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.757101 2.407277 3.327825 4.769203 7.052385 10.684431 17.247689
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.520422 2.180486 3.172163 4.836813 7.704552 12.745739 23.072855
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.339021 1.993296 3.025589 4.863227 8.267806 14.812113 29.883501
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.231691 1.898232 2.999384 5.073175 9.199868 17.883398 40.512313
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.095325 1.732986 2.824101 4.970972 9.492588 19.736563 49.386670
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.997958 1.618506 2.716380 4.969725 9.987797 22.234579 61.791645
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.906864 1.502226 2.586252 4.894725 10.296711 24.403563 74.937948
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.851076 1.441672 2.550380 5.007075 11.076785 28.178465 97.302832
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.779914 1.343964 2.428101 4.906062 11.298128 30.454618 116.188702
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.754218 1.328910 2.468040 5.180753 12.596181 36.791942 162.150863
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.702794 1.266632 2.420066 5.286555 13.619340 43.454090 226.418566
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.664543 1.227816 2.421046 5.532139 15.238308 54.045531 348.731068
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.611023 1.149823 2.321235 5.487995 15.920606 61.462019 476.181680
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.572259 1.097615 2.271273 5.568234 17.087869 72.544647 699.423613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.535170 1.044160 2.209456 5.599616 18.110920 84.273481 1018.963531
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.513499 1.021824 2.219194 5.849262 20.155346 105.177685 1729.086897
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.475926 0.959071 2.118151 5.727682 20.585563 116.232051 2402.827213
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.447762 0.914845 2.058162 5.726199 21.583826 133.572409 3681.887990
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.418731 0.865462 1.977622 5.637043 22.140470 148.667747 5411.270299
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.401186 0.841512 1.961780 5.770619 23.931187 179.609273 9934.344852
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.375841 0.796073 1.880754 5.650517 24.319426 197.414722 15146.476770